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Live updates: Cyclone Pam arrives in NZ this evening

Published: 10:34AM Sunday March 15, 2015 

The North Island is bracing for Cyclone Pam, with heavy rain and gale-force winds forecast for northern and eastern areas of the island.
MetService has issued a Severe Weather warning for northern and eastern parts of the North Island, where heavy rain and south to southeast gales are expected from this evening (Sunday) through to Tuesday.
5.34pm: Auckland Transport says Gulf Harbour ferry services have been cancelled tomorrow morning due to the expected high winds. Buses will replace the scheduled services. The service from Pine Harbour at 7.20am will also be replaced by a bus leaving at 7.40.
A decision will be made on some other ferry services early tomorrow morning.

Preparation for Cyclone Pam at Mount Maunganui included moving a 19-year-old Pilot Bay piano from its home in one garage to another garage on higher ground along Commons Ave
5.14pm: At least eight people are confirmed dead in Vanuatu after the massive cyclone and the death toll is likely to rise much higher once communications are restored with outlying islands, aid workers say.
Chloe Morrison, a World Vision emergency communications officer in Port Vila, says officials from Vanuatu's National Disaster Management Office confirmed to her agency that at least eight people died in and around the capital, Port Vila.
Officials have yet to assess the damage in many of the hard-hit outer islands because communications and power remain cut, she says. Ms Morrison says she has heard reports of entire villages being destroyed in more remote areas.
4.45pm: Health is emerging as a major concern in Vanuatu where power outages have hit the main hospital after Cyclone Pam which is feared to be one of the region's worst natural disasters.

Oxfam Country Director in Port Vila, Colin Collet van Rooyen, says this not only affects patient care but also temperature-sensitive medications and vaccines, which need refrigeration.
Mr Collet van Rooyen says it was one of the problems that came up at a meeting between the High Commissioners of Australia and New Zealand and Vanuatu's high levels of government at the National Disaster Management Office today.
Water sanitation and hygiene at the shelters as well as the need for temporary mortuary facilities also emerged as major concerns at the meeting, Mr Collet van Rooyen said. Plans around co-ordinated aid and recovery are expected to be announced shortly.
4.11pm: Vanuatu's Government has declared a state of emergency for the cyclone-battered country.
There are six certain deaths in Port Vila and 20 casualties, Vanuatu National Disaster Management Office spokesman Paulo Malatu told news agency AFP.

People scour through debris damaged and flung around in Port Vila, Vanuatu, in the aftermath of Cyclone Pam
3.57pm: The north-east coast of Auckland and Great Barrier Island will be hit by severe weather this evening and general disruption is expected across the region, Civil Defence says.
Civil Defence Controller Clive Manley says Aucklanders are advised to exercise extreme caution. Areas north of Whangaparaoa and Great Barrier have a good chance of river and stream flooding, strong winds, large swells, waves and coastal erosion, he says.
If possible Aucklanders should reconsider their travel plans and work from home or delay their travel time to avoid expected traffic disruption tomorrow morning, he says.
Surface flooding and slips is likely to make driving difficult from tonight until Tuesday. There may also be local power cuts. People in affected areas should have a battery-powered torch, radio, food, water and other essentials. Light rain has been falling in Auckland since around 3.30pm.
3.38pm: Civil Defence in Bay of Plenty advises sandbags have been made available for collection for residents in areas prone to flooding in Whakatane and Mt Maunganui. Residents can fill the sandbags and block entrances to garages etc which have flooded in the past.
Warnings from BoP Civil Defence remain:
- Between 120-160mm of rain expected over 24 hr period from tonight.
- Of concern are the very high winds that are also forecast.
- Residents are advised to secure properties - especially outdoor furniture and anything else that could blow around.
- Clean out gutters and drains.
- Stay off the roads and avoid unnecessary travel.
- Be sensible.
3.07pm: Save the Children says six people have died in Port Vila, Vanuatu's capital, and many more from the country's remote islands - where shelter is extremely limited - are feared to have lost their lives.
Save the Children's teams on the ground have been visiting evacuation centres and trying to reach villages on the coast to assess the damage.
"We're extremely concerned about communities who live close to the ocean. We still can't access many of them because of the flood waters," says Nichola Krey, Save the Children's Head of Humanitarian Response who's on her way to Vanuatu.
"These communities are very poor and their homes are made from scrap materials. We fear many villages have been swept away in the huge storm swell."

People on a dock view yachts damaged in Port Vila, Vanuatu, in the aftermath of Cyclone Pam
2.55pm: More than 70 firefighters and 30 appliances and other specialist vehicles are moving into vulnerable North Island coastal areas as Cyclone Pam approaches the country.
Fire Service Deputy National Commander Paul McGill says deploying resources now will provide extra support for local crews and allow personnel to get into position in areas likely to be cut off by flooding.
The Fire Service is moving taskforces to Northland, eastern Bay of Plenty, Hawke’s Bay and Poverty Bay.
McGill says firefighters will provide as much assistance as possible to local communities. This is likely to include helping people isolated by flooding and slips or stuck in vehicles, pumping out flooded buildings, salvage work and securing damaged buildings.
2.35pm: Australia will provide a "life-saving" package of $A5 million and humanitarian supplies to help Vanuatu. Foreign Minister Julie Bishop says the commitment follows a request from the Vanuatu government. "This package will include $A5 million that will be provided to Australian NGOs, particularly the Red Cross and to other United Nations partners," she told reporters in Perth.

"We will also be deploying humanitarian supplies to provide support for up to 5,000 people in the form of water, sanitation and shelter." A team of medical experts and urban search and rescue personnel will also be deployed.
1:25pm: The Auckland Fire Service has sent a "taskforce", comprising of 12 firefighters and four vehicles, to Northland.
They’re tasked with helping local volunteer brigades, if needed, when Cyclone Pam hits.

1:04pm: Brent Stewart of Eastland Group says crews and contractors are poised and ready to act should high winds cause power outages in Gisborne.
Crews are also on standby in other neighbouring areas should they need to be brought in and assist.
The possibility of high winds blowing trees down on power lines is the biggest concern at the moment.
Meanwhile, Pak'N'Save in Gisborne has been inundated with residents buying emergency supplies like water, candles and batteries.

Cyclone Pam weather graphic
12.46pm: Up to 90% of housing in Vanuatu's capital is reported to have been seriously damaged by Cyclone Pam, with still no information from the extremely vulnerable outer islands which are home to over 30,000 people.
Oxfam Country Director in Port Vila, Colin Collet van Rooyen said today while six deaths have been confirmed this number is likely to climb once communities across the archipelago are reached.
"This is likely to be one of the worst disasters ever seen in the Pacific," he said.
"Entire communities have been blown away."
Oxfam has a team on the ground and more humanitarian response experts attempting to travel there today.
Mr Collett van Rooyen said immediate priorities in Vanuatu would be to provide shelter, clean water and sanitation to people, especially those left homeless. Temporary toilets, water purification tablets, soap and water containers would all be vital, he said.

11:23am: A plane loaded with nearly 10 tons of food, water and first aid kits has left Auckland for Port Vila.
Hercules flight commander Leigh Foster says the plane will land at Port Vila Airport where the runway is open for military operations only.
10:34am:

10:30am: Civil Defence says Northland appears set to be spared the worst of the remains of Cyclone Pam but officials are still warning of severe gales and heavy rain this afternoon and overnight.
They say motorists should postpone any unnecessary travel from midday today until tomorrow morning.
Ref:http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/live-updates-cyclone-pam-arrives-in-nz-evening-6255440

New York state declares emergency as blizzards claim five lives

 
New York has declared a state of emergency after five people died when severe blizzards hit the state.
In the city of Buffalo, people have not been able to get out of their homes because the snow is higher than their roofs.
Nearly five and a half feet has fallen in some places.
"I've been here my whole life and seen lots of snow. It's never stopped me until now," said one local.
County officials confirmed yesterday that there had been four snow storm-related deaths. One of the four people was killed in a traffic accident and the three others died after suffering heart problems, two of whom were believed to have been shoveling heavy snow at the time.
At least another two people are believed to have died in car accidents caused by icy conditions and decreased visibility on the roads in New Hampshire and Michigan over the past week.

Copy -from http://www.irishexaminer.com/breakingnews/world/new-york-state-declares-emergency-as-blizzards-claim-five-lives-651716.html

Typhoon Matmo Slams Taiwan, China Next Target

 Storm Tracker Map
Typhoon Matmo is bearing down on Taiwan with landfall to occur Tuesday night local time.
Matmo is approaching the east coast of Taiwan with maximum wind gusts over 160 kph (100 mph).
The heaviest rain thus far has fallen across Lanyu Township, just east of the main island of Taiwan. Rainfall of 250-300 mm (10-12 inches) has been reported. Also wind gusts over 100 mph have pelted the small island for several hours as the eye of the storm passed just to the northeast.
Heavy rain and strong winds will worsen across much of Taiwan through Wednesday morning as the storm crosses the island and then moves into the Formosa Strait (Taiwan Strait) during the day on Wednesday.
Since mountains cover much of the island, heavy rainfall will likely create dangerous and life-threatening mudslides, while flooding will be a major concern across all areas.



Rainfall will average 100-200 mm (4-8 inches) across much of Taiwan, with local amounts in excess of 300 mm (12 inches).
Coastal areas along the northeast and east of Taiwan will likely endure flooding as the strong winds push water inland.
This satellite image of Typhoon Matmo, courtesy of NOAA, was taken Tuesday night, local time.
After Matmo leaves Taiwan, a second landfall is likely on the China coast Wednesday afternoon or evening local time.
Areas from northern Fujian to Zhejiang will be at the greatest risk during this time. Rainfall of 100-200 mm (4-8 inches) is expected along with locally damaging winds.

While Matmo will not make landfall in the Philippines, northern parts of the country will still feel some effects from the storm as it passes by to the northeast.
Heavy rain will target western parts of the Philippines as Matmo enhances a tropical southwesterly flow from the South China Sea leading to a threat for dangerous flooding in parts of Mimaropa, Visayas and Luzon.
Through Wednesday, highly populated areas, such as Manila, can get 50-100 mm (2-4 inches) of rain with isolated total in excess of 200 mm (8 inches) which will lead to the threat for flooding.
Rammasun brought damaging wind and flooding rainfall to this same area less than a week ago.

Matmo will also bring rain and wind to the southern Ryukyu Islands of Japan into Wednesday. However, impacts will be confined to the islands immediately east of Taiwan and will remain to the south and west of Okinawa which was impacted by Typhoon Neoguri early in July.

After pushing into eastern China, Matmo will be pulled northward by a trough, tracking west of Shanghai across the interior of China. This interaction with land will weaken the cyclone to a tropical storm by Thursday.
A northeast turn will eventually take Matmo into the Korean Peninsula later this week where heavy rain and flooding will be major concerns.
Impacts from Matmo will be well to the north of southern China and northern Vietnam, areas that were recently impacted by Rammasun just days ago.

By Eric Leister, Meteorologist   http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/typhoon-matmo-to-threaten-taiw-1/30703680
July 22, 2014; 7:59 AM


Evacuations as Super Typhoon Haiyan hits Philippines

 Manila: A powerful typhoon has slammed into the Philippines’ central islands, whipping up waves as high as 4.5 metres with winds gusting up to 275 kilometres per hour.
Millions of people have been forced to move to high ground and storm shelters, in 20 provinces as typhoon Haiyan lashed the islands of Leyte and Samar.
Philippine president Benigno Aquino warned Filipinos they face calamity and urged people in the path of the giant storm to make all possible precautions.
Super Typhoon Haiyan is seen approaching the Philippines in this Japan Meteorological Agency handout image taken on Thursday. Super Typhoon Haiyan is seen approaching the Philippines in this Japan Meteorological Agency handout image taken on Thursday. Photo: Reuters/Japan Meteorological Agency
The maximum category-five level typhoon cut power lines and phone lines and grounded air and sea transport. Officials said it was too early to know the extent of damage.

Cyclone Phailin forces cancellation of most flights to and from Odisha

 Saturday, Oct 12, 2013, 13:00 ISTRepresentational Image
Cyclone Phailin has forced the cancellation of a majority of flights from and to Odisha, the director of the Biju Patnaik Airport, Sarat Kumar, said on Saturday
“The weather is getting worse due to the cyclone. And for passenger safety, flights will be cancelled till the weather improves. There are almost 20 flights, out of which 15 flights have been cancelled. Permission for landing is subject to weather conditions,” he said
Kumar also said that except relief and rescue operational flights, all other flights have been cancelled, and added that the authorities are fully prepared to counter the severe storm
“We will decide tonight about tomorrow’s schedule. We are completely backed up with all necessary resources. We are prepared to handle the severe storm,” he added
Meanwhile, five army columns from Ranchi have been dispatched to Bhubaneshwar
Cyclone Phailin, which was touching wind speeds of 210 to 220 kilometers an hour on Friday, is expected to hit the coast of Odisha and Andhra Pradesh at around 6 p.m. on Saturday at an even greater speed
Cyclone Phailin, which has been put in the category of Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS), is expected to touch 240 kilometer per hour, when it hits the two states
Nearly three lakh people have been evacuated in Odisha, and at least 65,000 people have been evacuated in Andhra Pradesh by rescue and relief teams
Authorities in the two states have warned of extensive damage to crops, village dwellings and old buildings, as well as disruption of power, water and rail services. Shelters were being stocked with rations, and leave for government employees for Dussehra have been cancelled.
Saturday, Oct 12, 2013, 13:00 IST | Agency: ANI

Super Cyclonic Storm Phailin poised to strike India


Phailin has the potential to be one of the deadliest storms on Earth for the past several decades. It’ll strike India’s east coast within the next 24 hours.

October 11, 2013, 1900 UTC (2 p.m. CDT). Cyclone Phailin is a major hurricane (specified as a Super Cyclonic Storm) with wind speeds at 160 miles per hour, making it a Category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson scale. The storm is not projected to weaken much as it slams into parts of eastern India late Saturday according to Indian clocks (Saturday morning U.S. time). The last time a Category 4 or 5 storm struck the eastern coast of India was back in 1999, when Cyclone Odisha struck killing over 10,000 people. A major disaster appears to be in the making, with at least one Indian meteorologist commenting that Phailin has the potential to be “worse than Katrina.”
Indeed, Phailin has the potential to be one of the deadliest storms on Earth for the past several decades. Phailin is expected to make landfall in northeast India, approximately between Visakhapatnam and Puri, within the next 24 hours.
Cyclone Phailin is expected to strike the eastern coast of India, between the two points marked on this map.  A is the town of Puri.  B is the city of
Cyclone Phailin is expected to strike the eastern coast of India, between the two points marked on this map. “A” is Puri, a holy city of the Hindus and popular tourist resort. “B” is the port city of Visakhapatnam, sometimes called The Jewel of the East Coast.
Cyclone Phailin on October 10, 2013. Image Credit: CIMSS
Cyclone Phailin on October 10, 2013. Some media are describing it as “half the size of India.” Image via CIMSS
Cyclone Phailin on October 11, 2013 via University of Wisconsin
Cyclone Phailin on October 11, 2013 via University of Wisconsin
Cyclone Phailin. Image Credit:  Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere
Cyclone Phailin. Image Credit: Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere
Cyclone Phailin is currently spinning away in the Bay of Bengal. It is a large cyclone and is almost covering up nearly all of the Bay of Bengal. The last time a Category 4 or 5 storm struck the eastern coast of India was back in 1999, when Cyclone Odisha struck killing over 10,000 people. The residents that live off the coast of India are vulnerable to storm surge, flooding, and extreme damage from tropical cyclones. If you throw into the mix a Category 4 or 5 storm, that spells major problems. The storm is super large, meaning storm surge will likely be greater.
Phailin has already had an eyewall replacement cycle, meaning that it could intensify prior to making landfall in eastern India. The storm is very symmetric and is going over very warm waters and perfect atmospheric conditions that are very favorable for an intensifying storm.
Forecast track of Cyclone Phailin. Image Credit: Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Forecast track of Cyclone Phailin. Image Credit: Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Cyclone formation in the Northern Indian Ocean is typically a rare event. That part of the world usually sees 3 to 6 systems per year. Since 2000, the Bay of Bengal averages roughly two cyclones each year. Some of the most active years in the Northern Indian Ocean occurred in the 1970s when the basin averaged roughly five storms each year. 1998 and 1999 were active seasons that each had 3 storms make landfall in India with two of them at hurricane intensity (64 knots or 74 mph or stronger). According to Jeff Masters from Weather Underground, 26 of the 35 deadliest tropical cyclones in world history have been Bay of Bengal storms. Also, 42% of Earth’s tropical cyclone-associated deaths have occurred in Bangladesh.
India is the second most populated country in the world with a high percentage along the northeast and eastern coast of India. Image Credit: Wikipedia
India is the second most populated country in the world with a high percentage along the northeast and eastern coast of India. Image Credit: Wikipedia
India is vulnerable to tropical cyclones. According to Dr. Marshall Shepherd, President of the American Meteorological Society and Professor at the University of Georgia, we have to focus on how communities are vulnerable to weather extremes.
Vulnerability is a function of the disaster itself (e.g. storm strength), the socio-economic vulnerability of those affected, and the adaptive capacity or resilience of those affected. Many of the 40 million people in the path of Phailon have are highly socio economically vulnerable with low adaptive capacity = human disaster. Katrina or Andrew times a factor of perhaps 100 or more…
India is already evacuating and preparing for Cyclone Phailin. However, the outer rain bands of the storm is already over land, and the weather is expected to continue to deteriorate. Storm surge of 20 feet or higher is possible. Flooding is very likely as the system is very large. This storm will likely be extremely devastating for their economy along the coast.
Cyclone Phailin on October 11, 2013. Image Credit: NOAA
Cyclone Phailin on October 11, 2013. Image via NOAA
Bottom line: Cyclone Phailin is an extremely dangerous storm that is going to hit the eastern coast of India within the next 24 hours as a high end Category 4 or Category 5 storm. The last time a storm of this intensity hit this region, over 10,000 people died. Conditions will continue to deteriorate over the next 24 hours as the storm brings 150+ mile-per-hour winds, storm surge greater than 20 feet (6 meters), and significant flooding. I wish there was good news to share, but this setup looks almost catastrophic. Prayers go out to those affected by this storm.
http://earthsky.org/earth/super-cyclonic-storm-phailin-extremely-dangerous-for-india

Cyclone Mahasen may weaken briefly as it turns itself around

A 12-hour outlook for Bay of Bengal cyclone Mahasen suggests that it will once again weaken as it executes the turn before re-curving towards Bangladesh for a landfall.
The storm will re-intensify after putting itself on the path for the landfall, an update from Joint Typhoon Warning Centre of the US Navy said this morning.
The cyclone lay centred at about 750 km northwest of Car Nicobar; 650 km northeast of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka); 700 km southeast of Chennai; and 1,330 km south-southwest of Chittagong (Bangladesh).
It will retain cyclone strength till just ahead of the landfall, which is still three days away, model forecasts suggested.
India Met Department said satellite imageries showed convective (rain-bearing) clouds over parts of South Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Southwest and Central Bay of Bengal and Andaman Sea.
Rain or thundershowers would break out over Tamil Nadu and South Andhra Pradesh during next two days, the forecast said.
Thundershowers have been forecast also over Gangetic West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Kerala and South Karnataka.
Heavy to very heavy rainfall has been forecast Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
Thunder squall could break out over Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura.
Ref:http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/industry-and-economy/agri-biz/cyclone-mahasen-may-weaken-briefly-as-it-turns-itself-around/article4710887.ece 

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